Morning in the Markets & News – 7/24/2009

By Mark Pason, at 8:05 am on July 24th, 2009

S&P 500 Futuers up +2 to 970.90

Futures are pointing higher as Wall Street digests earnings misses from Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN)  Overall market sentiment seems positive though, with doom and gloom starting to be replaced with optimism.  The S&P 500 has gained back 50% of the losses it suffered after Lehman went down.  This is the highest close since Election Day and the most impressive rally since the Great Depression.  So much for a quiet summer.  In Europe, we are seeing the longest rally since 2006.  The only negative news seems to be the the shrinking British economy.  This is the largest yearly decline since the Officer for National Statistics started keeping records in 1955.

Bloomberg reports that Goldman Sachs’ $1.1bb payment to Uncle Sam was a very good P.R. move for venerable Wall Street firm.  The payment is about 10% of the $11bb Goldman set aside for compensation.  Politicians and critics are warning that obscene pay packages will lead to unwise risk taking, the kind that got us into this mess in the first place.  One way Goldman keeps printing money is by High Frequency Trading, which is the new buzz term on the Street.  Meanwhile, buy-and-hold is far from dead as Warren Buffett’s Goldman Sachs investment is looking to be a home run.

Schlumberg reported a Q2 profit decline of 57%.  The oilfield-services firm reported $0.68 EPS vs. an expected EPS of $0.64.  Eriscsson (NASDAQ:ERIC) saw it’s net income drop by 56%.

Washington: The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet trimmed down for the first time since September 2008.  The GAO, a government watchdog group, criticizes the Administration’s mortgage plan.  Sen. Max Baucus, House Minority Leader John Boehner and House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer are backing a plan to reverse the decision by Chrysler and General Motors to close over 3,000 auto dealerships.  Meanwhile, President Obama is about to unveil a $4bb school improvement plan.  On the state level, the New York Times is reporting that sixteen states are paying unemployment claims with borrowed money.  With more claims coming in, the situation is slowly getting dire, especially for those claims which require review.

What would a day be without news on CIT Group?  The 100 year-old firm is telling America that its not seeking bankruptcy but would restructure intead.  To the surprise of no one, the Oracle of Omaha made a bid to buy pieces of the company, but CIT politely refused.

A new book out next month about Bernie Madoff reveals some great tidbits about the Ponzi scheming jailbird.  He reportedly wore two gold Rolexes, so he always knew the time in London.  That should have told investors something right away about the man’s basic math skills.

The best sign that things are coming back to normal: The New York Yankees are winning again and sitting pretty in first place.

Market Wrap – Bernie gets 150 and the Dow gets 90

By Robert Perrego, at 4:26 pm on June 29th, 2009

Today the Judge threw the book at Bernie Madoff who didn’t even duck.  Bernie, unaccompanied by any relatives, apologized to people who’s lives he had ruined and got the maximum sentence.  Ruth Madoff, who decided to not go out and get yelled at and hated by the general public today, issued a statement finally breaking her long silence since the beginning of this circus.

Seeing as this was said to be a $65 billion fraud (and hardly any billions recovered) maybe Bernie’s unknown henchmen were buying today from their overseas accounts as the Dow was driven up 90 points.  Let’s ask Bernie for some advice, he had great returns year in and year out for a long time before… oh yeah, ooops.  ‘Hey Bernie, do you think we have seen the lows for the year?  Do you think you have?’  I don’t think so.  Have a nice day Bernie.  Call me in 150 years, we’ll do lunch.

The market is closed Friday, so with a shortened week and the end of trading for the second quarter coming up (June 30th) tomorrow, how funds will position themselves up against a long weekend will be interesting to watch.  Today’s trading was on very light volume with less than a billion shares being traded on the NYSE and moves on lower volume are more easily given up.

Bernard Madoff came in up 150 years – up the river, and beat all major indices.  The Dow was the best mover of the three major usual indices with just over a 1% move upward (+90.99, 8529.38, +1.07%) followed by the S&P 500 (+8.33, 927.23, +0.90%) and tech brought up the rear with the Nasdaq 100 (+3.63, 1483.83, +0.24%).

New York Spot Gold was marginally down (-1.80 at $937.20 4:03 p.m. est) and oil traded up $2.33 to close at $71.46.

Consumer cyclicals, industrials and financials paced the upside move once again rising 1.13%, 1.03% and 1.03% respectively.  These three sectors leading shows an optimistic vote about the economy being cast by the market.  We did not just trade up on oil and the 99 cent store, we traded up on more economically sensitive sectors so the market is in a good mood to go higher thinking the economy is getting better.

Hewlett Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) closed at $38.93 (+ $1.37) within 33 cents of its high close for 2009.  By taking out $39.53 HPQ will be trading above where it was back in October of 2008 and once that level is cleared it looks like the next resistance level is $41.50.

Microsoft (NSDQ: MSFT) got its target price upped to $30 today by Deutsche Bank in anticipation of the Windows 7 release.  MSFT traded up 51 cents on the news.

For more links on Madoff – see the following Raked InSights story.

What Do You Have In YOUR Wallet? How About $134 Billion in U.S. Bonds?

By Robert Perrego, at 11:01 am on June 12th, 2009

Now maybe these guys were going to connect with Bernie Madoff’s money launderer or what have you – but two gentlemen assumed (but not verified) to be Japanese were caught in Italy trying to smuggle $134 Billion of U.S. Bonds into Switzerland.  This one just takes the prize for “OMG!”  The authenticity of the bonds are being checked into as well as the Italian Police have rented a few old copies of ‘Die Hard’ to see if any of the criminals look like the two gentlemen in custody.

Uhhhh, yeah – I think I lost that suitcase a few days ago.  Really!  I did!

Bernie Goes Down on all 11 counts… no plea bargain

By Robert Perrego, at 3:18 pm on March 10th, 2009

Life in prison is what Bernie Madoff is to expect in two days when he pleads guilty to all 11 counts of all types of fraud dating back to the 1970’s.  The whole gang is in there; mail fraud, wire fraud, securities fraud, money laundering and somewhere there might be a count of jaywalking too.  As far as the King of Super-Villians goes, Lex Luthor, who was Superman’s nemesis, is probably taking notes right now and waiting for the book.  Bernie’s take over three plus decades is estimated at $43 to $50 billion.  Now that is a serious haul!

It was reported on Monday that Mr. ‘Made-off’ with everyones money of Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC was in plea bargain negotiations which prompted me to ask ‘WHY?’

Why would Bernie, who burned everyone from the very rich to charities to pension funds around the world be ‘bargaining’ and what did he have to bargain with?

Well, let me leave you with this thought – both his sons who worked for the firm are not charged with any wrong doing even though one ran the trading operations that supposedly made a whole lot of ‘no trades’.

‘Madoff with my Money’ is actually getting a plea bargain?

By Robert Perrego, at 12:39 pm on March 6th, 2009

Filing this one under ‘YOU CANNOT BE SERIOUS!’

What is he pleading guilty to?  Ripping off $10 billion instead of $50 billion?  This will get him in less trouble?

I guess if you are going to break the law or screw up financially you might as well run it to the craziest limit you can.  AIG did.  And now Bernie just did to.

Bernie stole $50 billion via his hedge fund business; Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC from charities, the wealthy, public pension funds, retirement funds, and that poor guy that year after year watches his Mets drop like a dog in the summer heat every September.

Life in prison – period.  And now he gets a plea bargain?