Wall Street Wrap – Intel and AMD Settle, Wal-Mart Digs In

By Robert Perrego, at 4:57 pm on November 12th, 2009

Up and down chip maker Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD) struck a settlement with Intel Corp. (NSDQ: INTC) for $1.25 billion.  In return AMD drops all the outstanding legal disputes it has against Intel and the two chip manufacturers agreed to a new five-year cross-licensing deal.  Back in the fall of 2002, AMD was a sub $4 stock but they were just about to leapfrog Intel with their new generation of 64-bit chips.  AMD stock went from a low of $3.10 to a high of $42.70 in 41 months as the underdog started giving Intel a real battle.  In March of 2006 the top for the stock was in, and from there AMD’s stock and sales dropped until a new low was put in at $1.62 one year ago.  On the news today, AMD’s stock closed up $1.17 or $21.80% at $6.48.  Intel traded down 16 cents to $19.68.

Possibly the last AMD decline had something to do with Intel’s business practices, which have raised the eyebrows of various regulators and governmental agencies from The European Union to The New York State Attorney General, both of whom have filed suits against the company.  This settlement helps AMD out with their $3 billion in debt while possibly helping Intel get some leeway with antitrust regulators.  European regulators levied a $1.4 billion fine against Intel recently and Intel appealed the fine.  If this settlement gets that fine reduced, or eliminated, this settlement pays for itself.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) reported earnings of 84 cents a share against analyst expectations of 81.  The world largest retailer also raised its fourth quarter forecast but issued a warning of sorts.  In comments on their customers, Wal-Mart warned that unemployment and concerns about the economy may cause shoppers to become cautious heading into the very important holiday shopping season.  Wal-mart traded as high as $53.74 before settling lower and closing up 27 cents at $53.24 (+0.50%).

Overall the market took it on the chin today with the Dow Jones Industrial index dropping 93.79 points (-0.91%, 10,197.47) while the S&P 500 lost 11.27 points (-1.02%, 1,087.24).  The Nasdaq 100 performed best by losing only 9.81 points (-0.55%, 1,773.14).

The dollar turned in a strong performance today with the PowerShares DB US Dollar Bull ETF (NYSE: UUP) gaining 1.42% or 32 cents to $22.80.  The U.S. Dollar Index Future spot price (the ‘dixie’ or DXY) was only up 0.70%, which is strange as the UUP usually trades very closely, but did not today.  The UUP has become very popular as a dollar trading vehicle.  The demand for shares in this ETF is so high that a registration was filed for an additional 100,000,000 shares which will not be available until sometime in the future.  Until this registration is approved, the ETF managers have decided not to issue additonal shares, and this has caused a change in supply and demand for the ETF’s shares and is probably what has knocked it out of whack with the DXY.  You might want to stay away from the UUP until this all sorts itself out.

Of course this dollar strength caused commodities and commodity based stocks to drop and contributed to the selling pressure which brought the market lower.

New York Spot Gold cooled off after a 9 day hot streak that added $70 per ounce and ticked all time highs.  At 4:20 p.m. the cool yellow metal was down $13.40 an ounce (-1.20%, $1,103.40).   The iShares Gold ETF (NYSE: GLD) chart shows that it is back to trading inside the uptrend channel and the stochastic oscillators have peaked and are cycling lower.  The chart shows support at $105 for the GLD (about $1,070 for gold spot) and a pullback is expected here.

Nymex Crude dropped $2.34 a barrel (-2.96%, 4:30 p.m.) to $76.68 on a strong dollar and slightly higher inventory levels.  This rise in inventories and a decrease in demand for gasoline were cited as causes for the move lower.

The big number tomorrow is Consumer Confidence at 9:55 a.m. (71.0 expected).

Market Wrap – DuPont, Blackrock hit Lower Targets, Market all over the place

By Robert Perrego, at 4:47 pm on July 21st, 2009

The earnings flow kept coming and lower estimates were beat once again as the market focused on Bernankes testimony before the House.  The Market opened higher out of the gate but faded on testimony by Bernanke that rates would need to be kept low for a long period of time as weak economic growth is expected.  This testimony caused interest rates to drop and the bond market rallied as lower rates for longer means higher bonds prices for longer.

A group of banks posted weak earnings with Regions Financial (NYSE: RF) missing with a loss of 28 cents a share vs an expected loss of 22 cents.  State Street Corp (NYSE: STT) posted a whopping loss of $7.12 a share while BlackRock Inc. (NYSE: BLK) beat their expected $1.59 a share with $1.75 but down from the $2.00 a share they earned a year earlier but hey, at least they are still in the same ballpark unlike many other companies posting earnings that are a mere fraction of previous YoY comparisons.

Pentair’s (NYSE: PNR) net fell 77%, Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) dropped 38%, DuPont’s (NYSE: DD) net fell 61% as we are starting to see a stream of companies that are beating these lowered numbers but showing top line business activity and sales that are a fraction of past years take.

The question is how expensive is the market now?  If the earnings have been cut by 70% while the stock is only down 35% that stock just got twice as expensive on a P/E basis.  Many businesses have cut personnel and are getting leaner and meaner which preserves some of their profits, but they are also doing a lot less business.

The Dow did swing around mostly on Bernanke’s testimony and ended up putting in a strong last ten minutes to close up a respectable 67.79 points as everyone is afraid to be left behind by this rally, so the money is chasing the stocks up.  All three indexes finished in the green with the S&P 500 gaining 3.45 points and the Nasdaq 100 up 9.01 points.  Small gains but gains nonetheless.

Oil tacked on 74 cents a barrel and closed at $64.72 and Gold finished pretty much flat at $948.70 at 4:10 p.m. est.  Nothing to see here folks, move along.

The sectors finished with the consumer non-cycs leading the pack up 0.57% and that does not bode well as this is a defensive sector.  Energy placed second at +0.53% and the laggard was financials down 0.92%.

We now have had 7 straight up days on the Dow and the S&P 500 with the Nasdaq posting its tenth straight gain.  No matter how you slice it this means more money in investors pockets and that’s not a bad thing.  The question is will we start playing ‘last one outs a rotten egg’ one of these days.  As Bernanke mentioned today, the recovery is expected to be tepid for quarters to come and as the net earnings of many companies illustrates, there is not a lot of business being done out there right now.  The talking heads on TV seem to bring up ‘jobless recovery’ about every 5 minutes or so, and if there are no jobs coming back anytime soon where will the money be made to boost these businesses sales and profits?

Where is our next economic growth engine?  Obama says it is green energy and health care but I don’t see how working in the health care industry produces products we can export or that contribute to building a growing economic base.  Those jobs just keep people a little healthier which is not a bad thing, but which does not contribute directly or as a multiplier for the economy as a whole.  Those people will just be healthy AND unemployed.  As far as green energy jobs don’t bet on it.  First the technological breakthroughs have to happen before whole industries can be built in order to create significant economic growth.  Past economic growth engines have been technology, the Internet, telecoms and on Wall Street.  Wall Street, as we all know, is limping along these days and not hiring a whole lot and the funny thing about technology is that its aim is to do more with less – and yes that means less jobs too.

Advanced Micro devices (NYSE: AMD) just posted a larger loss than expected after the close losing 62 cents a share vs the expected 47 cents.

AFTER MARKET UPDATE: AMD TRADING DOWN AT $3.62 in the after market at 5 p.m. est down 46 cents from its 4 p.m. close at $4.08.

Apple (NSDQ: AAPL) came in strong after the close with $1.35 a share vs expected $1.17 with revenues of $8.34 billion vs $8.18 expected.  Apple sold 2.6 million Macs, 10.2 million iPods, 5.2 million iPhones with a gross margin of 36.3%.   OK – so i stand corrected, someone is making money and doing some good business.  If they could all just be like Mike (Apple)!

AFTER MARKET UPDATE:  AAPL TRADING UP AT $157.10 at 5 p.m. est in the after market – up $5.54 from today’s close at $151.56.

Well let’s see if Apple can save the market tomorrow.  Looking at the top sector being non-cycs today and after 7 straight up I don’t think even Apple can do it – but you never know.  That is the beauty of the markets.

Earnings for tomorrow: APD (0.98) before the open, ATI (0.03) bto, MO (0.47) bto, BK (0.53) bto, BCR (1.21) after the close, CTXS (0.38) atc, ETFC (-0.32) atc, EBAY (0.36) atc, LLY (1.02), ITW (0.34) bto, KEY (-0.41) bto, ISRG (1.25), MS (-0.49) bto, PEP (1.00) bto, PFE (0.48), QCOM (0.52) atc, RJF (0.20) atc, STJ (0.63), STI (-0.52) bto, BA (1.21) bto, USB (0.10) bto, WFC (0.34) bto

Economic reports:  MBA Purchase Applications at 7 a.m. est and Bernanke testifies in front of the Senate Banking Committee at 10 a.m.